By charybdis 1966
Now the cold light of reality has allowed us to fully comprehend the ramifications of the events at Middle Eastlands on Wednesday night Gooners may perhaps feel it right that a period of introspection follows.
Three quarters of the way through this game at nil nil, the score was looking acceptable however the human bean pole’s goal on 82 minutes meant that when I relayed the final score to my eleven year old son the following morning the look of silent screaming horror on his face was positively (Edvard) Munch-ian.
Bizarrely that result made me feel even worse than the Wigan result, surely the nadir of depths plumbed by our team this season.
The whole squad management question (who to buy/sell and team selection and formation) will be extensively debated, and has been pretty much ever since the first injuries started to take their toll by the autumn last year, so I’m leaving this question aside and I’m also sidestepping the “When should Wenger go” question.
What has got my goat is that during our recent disintegration in form the players on the pitch were very capable of producing the desired results. Having looked at the last 5 matches and the first 5 of this season I decided to evaluate our team’s effectiveness over those two very different periods of the season. Results wise it is blatantly clear our form has dropped; however on closer examination it is possible to look at another performance indicator (a term middle management is keen to bandy about in too many areas of our lives nowadays) to give another perspective on our downward spiral.
We all know we tend to dominate possession in most games, but to my mind meaningful possession has to result in shots on target, side ways passing in midfield ad infinitum will not win you matches, so dividing percentage points by shots on target will show you what use we make of our possession. The lower this value, the better our possession efficiency.
Below is a table which details the change highlighted by this performance indicator:
|
Arsenal stats |
|
Match date |
Opposition team |
Opposition stats |
|
|
|
Percentage possession |
Shots on target |
Percentage points per shot |
|
|
Percentage possession |
Shots on target |
|
Percentage points per shot |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
56 |
9 |
6.22 |
15/08/2009 |
Everton |
44 |
5 |
|
8.80 |
|
47 |
3 |
15.67 |
18/08/2009 |
Celtic |
53 |
1 |
|
53.00 |
|
56 |
16 |
3.50 |
22/08/2009 |
Portsmouth |
44 |
4 |
|
11.00 |
|
55 |
5 |
11.00 |
26/08/2009 |
Celtic |
45 |
3 |
|
15.00 |
|
53 |
3 |
17.67 |
29/08/2009 |
Man Utd |
47 |
4 |
|
11.75 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total for first 5 games |
267 |
36 |
7.42 |
|
|
233 |
17 |
|
13.71 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
37 |
2 |
18.50 |
06/04/2010 |
Barcelona |
63 |
8 |
|
7.88 |
|
63 |
11 |
5.73 |
14/04/2010 |
Spurs |
37 |
10 |
|
3.70 |
|
54 |
8 |
6.75 |
18/04/2010 |
Wigan |
46 |
11 |
|
4.18 |
|
58 |
4 |
14.50 |
24/04/2010 |
Man City |
42 |
2 |
|
21.00 |
|
57 |
4 |
14.25 |
03/05/2010 |
Blackburn |
43 |
7 |
|
6.14 |
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
|
| Total for last 5 games |
269 |
29 |
9.28 |
|
|
231 |
38 |
|
6.08 |
If you compare the first 5 games of the season to the last 5 you will see that while we only take about 2 more percentage points to get a shot on target in, our opponents have doubled their possession-shots efficiency, going from 13.71 percentage points per shot on target to 6.08.
This to me points to our opponents conceding possession to us in areas where little attacking intent is seen as well as Arsenal being unaware of the danger of conceding possession to a more efficient, and wily, opponent who uses their possession to greater effect as the season has progressed. Of course we have lost key personnel between the two time periods, Cesc and Robin being the two most crucial misses, and this will inevitably have some influence on our “possession effectiveness”.
Why has this happened? Therein lies my major grouse: we just don’t fight for the ball back anymore like we did in the first few games of the season and when you are happy to let the opposition keep the ball, and certainly an opposition who shoot more, you invite pressure on the defence and suspect goalkeepers alike.
We can all name examples of players not tracking back(the sight of Denilson being outpaced by a referee is an example that springs to mind) is symptomatic of this laissez faire attitude of our team to the less glamorous part of the game, namely the work you need to do when you are not in possession.
Why do we not battle for possession anymore, in the way that Barcelona, a team we aspire to, do ?
Perhaps a lot of the players are operating in a comfort zone whereby a few nifty flicks here and there will mask a performance largely made up of ineffectual strolling around areas of the pitch the opposition are happy for our players to persist in carrying the ball sideways as no one appears to want to take responsibility for forward motion with the ball.
Without Cesc in our team it seems no one wants to take up his role of driving our play forward, or at least no one has tried to do this however Cesc is a special talent and it appears to me that perhaps we are more of a one man team than we may have thought.
Now it’s fair enough for the team to struggle without Cesc, or Robin(or both at some times this season) but what I haven’t been able to stomach is the lack of effort from players who have been given ample chances to step up to the plate and make themselves first team choices.
If we lose a game where all the squad players who are replacements for our preferred starting eleven have tried their utmost and given it their all then defeat is part of supporting a team and can move on, sadder but wiser.
But when I see players in our red and white not doing that, then I’m sad and angry.
You can discuss below who these players are, for me Vela, Diaby and Denilson are three who could have made names for themselves but didn’t.
As an aside perhaps someone can enlighten me as to why we persistently pick up injuries BETWEEN games, Song, Bendtner and Rosicky all managing to injure themselves during the nine day gap between our last two games.
In every one of our last 5 games with the necessary effort put in we should have at least 5 points more than we actually have – and that’s what’s caused the anger and may lead to some form of protest at the game Sunday.
If the “80 minutes walk out”, as I’ve seen on various blogs, happens then maybe the club will take some notice.
Even though it I believe it probably won’t happen, it doesn’t make me feel any less let down by the team than those who do protest.
We have to ask:“Where has the fight gone in our team?”
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