Someone questioned on the blog yesterday whether our new line-up would be able to score enough goals, so I thought it would be interesting to compare the goalscoring prowess of the new players against those who have departed based on past performances.
Now I realise that stats are generally just a way of manipulating figures so they masquerade as facts. There are many factors such as playing in a different league, in a different team etc. etc. which completely undermine the validity of the comparison, but I decided to persevere with this lighthearted analysis because we should all be excited by the prospect of a new look Arsenal with more bite in the final third.
I believe the benefits of having a team packed with players who want to prove themselves, who want to play for Arsenal and are unsullied by the grubby attentions of billionaire suitors means that we will at last possess the much vaunted yet ultimately fragile team spirit that evaporated completely in the latter stages of last season.
The following stats are based on the player’s time at Arsenal for those who have left, and games played at their previous club for those have just joined (Benayoun’s stats are from Liverpool as he hardly played for Chelski).
gpg = goals per game.
Likely first team replacements:
Samir Nasri: 18 goals in 86 games = 0.21 gpg
Gervinho: (Lille) 28 goals in 67 games = 0.42 gpg
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Cesc Fabregas: 35 goals in 212 games = 0.16 gpg
Mikel Arteta: (Everton) 27 goals in 161 games = 0.17 gpg
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Gael Clichy: 1 goal in 187 games = 0.006 gpg
Santos: (Fenerbahce) 10 goals in 52 games = 0.19 gpg
Assuming that Gervinho, Arteta and Santos will start most games in place of Nasri, Cesc and Clichy, their combined gpg is as follows:
Ex-Arsenalplayers = 54 goals in 585 games = 0.09 gpg
New Arsenal players = 65 goals in 280 games = 0.23 gpg
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Goals from the bench:
Niklas Bendtner: 22 goals in 98 games = 0.22 gpg
Park: (Monaco) 25 goals in 91 games = 0.27 gpg
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Henri Lansbury: 4 goals in 22 games (on loan to Norwich City) = 0.18 gpg
Alex Oxlade Chamberlain: (Southampton) 9 goals in 36 games = 0.26 gpg
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Yossi Benayoun may well be used as an impact sub as a more attacking option to Ramsey or Wilshere, he also represents a greater goalscoring threat with stats of 29 goals in 133 games = 0.22 gpg
Wilshere: 1 goal in 37 games = 0.03 gpg
Ramsey: 4 goals in 37 games = 0.11 gpg
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So the results are conclusive as you can see – we’re going to score bucketloads more goals with the new line-up.
The defence is also more solid so we should also be shipping in far fewer goals. We at last have a worthy No.1 keeper. Vermaelen is back (how we’ve missed him) and we have the added experience and height of Mertesacker and the class and pedigree of Santos.
The squad has greater depth and balance than we’ve seen since 2006. We have players like Park and Benayoun who can come off the bench and change games, and the emergence of Jenkinson, Oxlade Chamberlain and Miyaichi to keep everyone on their toes. The squad suddenly looks able to fight on all fronts and will need to do just that to keep everyone involved.
We also have 2 more players who can take a free kick in Santos and Park and hopefully we won’t have the ridiculous situation of our leading goalscorer taking corners instead of getting on the end of them.
Forget the first 3 games of the season, we were still reeling from the effect of the long drawn out departures of Cesc and Na$ri and the squad had been decimated by injuries and suspensions.
The new players will make a difference. Our season starts again this Saturday against Swansea.
Written by Rasp
Posted by Rasp 


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